|
Saturday, 19 April 2008 |
|
The Peak Oil, oil crisis, and petrol rationing plans are topics that should have been on the agenda at the 2020 summit. Bruce Robinson, Convenor of ASPO-Australia, says that governments are ignoring the probability that global oil shortages will start to hit Australia in the next few years, just as our own production continues to decline. We could be facing a crippling oil trade deficit of $100 million pa by 2015, four times the figure mentioned by Martin Ferguson, unless we can take serious steps to reduce our oil vulnerability. Many bnght people from the Australian Association for the Study of Peak Oil nominated for the summit, but none were selected.
ASPO is concerned that the threats that Peak Oil poses are being systematically ignored and there will be chaos if oil shortages hit Australia. We should plan well ahead for petrol droughts and oil crises, just as we do for cyclones and bushfires. Oil vulnerability assessment should be a routine risk management feature, not a rarity. The most probable date for Peak Oil is 2012 (+/- 5 years)
ABARE's determined forecasts of falling oil prices have been consistently wrong for five years, as it is geological limits that control oil production not economics. Economists do not realise that geological forces are more powerful than market forces. A random number generator would perform better than ABARE's forecasters. See graph at www.ASPO-Australia.org.au/References/Bruce/abare-mar-08.jpg
For more information contact Bruce Robinson 08-9384-7409 0427 398 708 or David Bell 0413 594 154
|
|
|
Friday, 18 April 2008 |
|
Those lucky folks in Brisbane have a new Australian made Peak Oil
Movie to go and see. Opening Night is Tuesday 20th May at the Ithaca
Auditorium at the Brisbane City Hall.
Get your tickets at www.climateleadership.net.au
Click for A5 Poster
|
|
Read more...
|
|
|
Friday, 28 March 2008 |
|
Transcript of an address given March 4 to the Brisbane Institute by the Honourable Andrew McNamara, Queensland Minister for Sustainability, Climate Change and Innovation.
I’d like to pay my respects to the traditional owners of the land on which we gather this evening.
I want to thank the Board of the Brisbane Institute for the invitation to address this gathering.
Tonight I want to talk about capital S Sustainability.
By that I don’t mean the usual narrow environmental concept of sustainability in agricultural production and land use.
I mean the future of our society, our economy and our environment; the
structure of our cities, their energy and water sources and demand
profiles; the treatment of these sources of our wealth; the imminent
peaking of world oil supplies; our use of finite resources like gas and
coal; and the way we dispose of those resources when we’re finished
with them.
I will begin by considering what sustainability means to me.

|
|
Read more...
|
|
|
Friday, 28 March 2008 |
Speech to Parliament
Ms Rachel Nolan MP - Member for Ipswich
13th March 2008
Ms NOLAN (Ipswich—ALP):
On Monday night in Ipswich two local engineers, Steve Posselt and
Stuart McCarthy, in conjunction with the Ipswich Chamber of Commerce
and Industry and Ipswich Green—an organisation of which I am a
cofounder—ran an Ipswich leaders forum to outline to the community the
serious challenge of sustainability.
Their timing could not have been better. Today the price of a barrel
of West Texas crude oil passed through the $US110 mark. This is the
highest price oil has ever reached, either in current or inflation
adjusted terms.
|
|
Read more...
|
|
|
Monday, 17 March 2008 |
|
Sydney and other cities should be preparing now for future oil shortages, Bruce Robinson, Convenor of ASPO-Australia, said today. Peak Oil is the time when global oil production will start its unavoidable decline. This may be happening now, but a more likely date is in 2012 or so (+/- 5 years). Cities which prepare well in advance for oil shortages will have big advantages over those which ignore the risks till it is too late. The Queensland Government is preparing an Oil Vulnerability Mitigation Strategy, one of the recommendations of its Taskforce which reported in April 2007. Mr Robinson called on the Federal and NSW Governments to collaborate in assessing the risks oil shortages will bring. We must start serious steps to reduce our automobile dependence before the oil shocks hit.
Sydney Morning Herald , The Age and Courier Mail on-line articles resulting from the news conference held at Parliament House, Sydney, with Lee Rhiannon, Monday 17th March.
|
|
Read more...
|
|
|
Monday, 18 February 2008 |
|
It has been a good week for peak oil in Australian politics. Andrew MacNamara (ASPO Australia Patron) launched a peak oil policy in Queensland, and Australian Democrat Sandra Kanck proposed a 'peak oil select committee'
in the South Australian Legislative Council (although ASPO Australia fears for the
motion's chance of success - write to your local member if you're in
SA!).
Now, we have our first positive mention of peak oil by a Member of
the House of Representatives, with a new MP shining a light for his new
Federal Labor Government. With the Green Senators leading the campaign
in the Senate, we now have at least positive indications from three of
the four main parties.
Below is the relevant extract from Mike Kelly's speech. ASPO Australia welcomes this contribution to Federal Parliament.
|
|
Read more...
|
|
|
Wednesday, 09 January 2008 |
|
Preparing for the Petrol Droughts
Short-term and long-term oil shortages are quite likely in the near future.
We should prepare in case they do come. When there is a water shortage, we do not let the market allocate this vital resource. We have restrictions, regulations and community campaigns to reduce consumption.
A smart-card sliding-scale, tradeable fuel allocation system should be designed, in case we need it in future. Harvard economist, Martin Feldstein, chief economic advisor to President Reagan, recommended in the Wall Street Journal in 2006. “ a system of tradeable gasoline rights would be better than either higher taxes or tougher new car regulations. That a majority of households could benefit from the TGR system while all households would have an increased incentive to economize on gasoline is both an economic and a political advantage.
People with disabilities, farmers, people in outer suburbs, and those with important jobs, like hospital shift workers, should receive higher fuel allocations than those from leafy inner suburbs close to public transport.
Like water pricing, a basic minimum allowance should be cheap, and additional fuel should be available at increasingly higher prices. Those who are frugal could sell their unused entitlements electronically to those who need more than average.
Bruce Robinson, Convenor
|
|
|
Monday, 19 November 2007 |
Peak Exports An article in the New York Times 9th December 2007 raises the increasing domestic use in oil producing countries, which is reducing their exports. Jeff Rubin, of the Canadian Imperial Banking Corporation is quoted. His presentation at ASPO-VI in Ireland has a lot of information The NYT article and a couple of slides from Jeff Rubin and Rembrandt Koppelaar are available here. Peak Exports will be what matters to Australia, and it may be coming very soon.
Wall Street Journal article Oil Officials See Limit Looming on Production A growing number of oil-industry chieftains are endorsing an idea long deemed fringe: The world is approaching a practical limit to the number of barrels of crude oil that can be pumped every day. Some predict that, despite the world's fast-growing thirst for oil, producers could hit that ceiling as soon as 2012....
19th International Geophysical Conference, Perth WA Chief Scientist Professor Lyn Beazley, opened the conference on Monday, 19 November. Industry experts Mr Bruce Robinson, convenor of the Australian Association for the Study of Peak Oil and Gas ASPO-Australia) and Saudi Aramco VP Exploration, Mr Abdulla Al Naim, discussed the issues surrounding ‘Peak Oil’, and planning for our oil dependent society dealing with declining oil production. Bruce's summary presentation is "The Approach of Peak Oil" and a short briefing note is available |
|
|
Wednesday, 31 October 2007 |
ASPO presentation and news release from the National Bus Industry Confederation Conference in Fremantle,
30th October 2007
Australia's public transport is completely inadequate to cope with future oil shocks, a national bus industry conference was told.
Bruce Robinson, Convenor of the Australian Association for the Study of Peak Oil, warned of looming oil shortages when world oil production starts to decline. A revolution or another war in the Middle East could easily create another sudden oil crisis which would make the 1973 and 1979 oil shocks look minor.
Australian transport authorities have no serious planning in place to handle a major fuel shortage. Existing petrol rationing plans (eg. odds and evens number plate days) fail to consider the lack of spare public transport capacity.
If petrol has to be rationed in a future oil shock, then it will be essential to ration access to public transport as well. No Australian city has anywhere near enough public transport capacity to handle even a quarter of existing car travellers if they need to use buses and trains instead.
|
|
Read more...
|
|
|
Wednesday, 18 April 2007 |
|
ASPO-Australia has a broad range of working groups, aimed at looking at our oil vulnerability and the opportunities in different community sectors
These arose in part from our decion to provide sector-by sector input to the Senate Inquiry into Australia's future oil supply and alternative transport fuels. The various submissions are listed here, in part to show the range of our interests:
Main submission (1.9MB)
Other working groups have been formed since, and we welcome suggestions and offers to expand the range of consideration
Children and Peak Oil
Young Professionals
Economics (pending)
Tourism (pending)
Public transport sector
Conservation and environment sector
Oil vulnerability assessment and risk management
|
|
|
Tuesday, 18 September 2007 |
News release
Oil Experts: 80 dollars per barrel is just the beginning
The world is headed towards a long period of high oil prices. That was the singular message of oil industry insiders today at the yearly conference of the Association for the Study of Peak Oil & Gas in Cork, Ireland.
James Schlesinger, former Energy Secretary of the United States told the audience that : "Increasing the supply of oil is becoming increasingly difficult. In the large oil fields of the world, such as Cantarell in Mexico and Burgan in Kuwait, oil production is rapidly decreasing. Even the heads of large oil companies, united together in the American National Petroleum Council, agree that we should decrease our consumption of crude oil rapidly by reducing our consumption and change to renewable energy sources."
His message, that the world is headed for a a long period with higher oil prices, was confirmed in speeches by amongst others Ray Leonard, Vice-President of Kuwait Energy Company, James Buckee, the CEO of independent oil company Talisman Energy and Jeff Rubin, chief economist of the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce.
|
|
Read more...
|
|
| | << Start < Prev 1 2 Next > End >>
| | Results 1 - 12 of 16 | |
|
|
Newsletters |
|
Keep up to date! Subscribe to the ASPO Newsletter.
|
|
Newswire |
|
EnergyBulletin.net Latest News
|
-
ODAC newsletter - 16 May
Staff, Oil Depletion Analysis Centre. A digest of news and commentary from a UK peak oil perspective.
-
Deep thought - May 16
Staff, Energy Bulletin. A leftist critique of Transition Towns - review by Rob Hopkins
Malthus, the false prophet
Are...
-
Urban design & transport - May 16
Staff, Energy Bulletein. Heinberg: Saying goodbye to air travel
Peak-oil spike reshapes the suburbs
Bicycles pedaling into the...
-
California steaming - May 16
Staff, Energy Bulletin. L.A. prepares massive water-conservation plan
Los Angeles eyes sewage as a source of water
S. California faces...
-
Peak oil - May 16
Staff, Energy Bulletin. Heinberg: Oil and politics
National Geographic: World oil demand surging as supplies approach limits
19th century...
|
|
|